Aurélien Nicosia
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Aurélien Nicosia

UNIVERSITÉ LAVAL · QUÉBEC

Aurélien Nicosia

Statistics, data science and university teaching.

Teaching at Université Laval.
Statistical methodology, R software and open resources.

Explore my work View my background

Circular data Density estimation Sequential models ggcircular
Visualizing circular data
Illustrative composition

A selection of my work

All projects

Illustration

ggcircular

Visualizing circular data

Illustration

DonutMap

Mapping local compositions

Illustration

Teaching

Learning statistics and R

Teaching and student support

Courses, supervision and teaching innovation at Université Laval.

Courses and supervision Teaching innovation CDA and GPT-CDA

Explore and reuse

Datasets, teaching materials and a library to explore.

Library Open resources

Computational statistics, diagnostics and uncertainty

I hold a PhD in Statistics and a permanent teaching appointment at Université Laval. I develop methods for understanding latent states, directional data and atypical observations, connecting statistical methodology, R software and university teaching.

Research, teaching and software

A connected research program

Three themes: sequential model diagnostics, directional statistics and influence in density estimation. Methods are accompanied by simulation studies and reproducible materials.

Contributions and directions

Teaching and student training

Undergraduate and graduate teaching in French and English, student project advising and coordination of academic support through the CDA.

Courses and supervision

Open software and resources

R packages on CRAN, software under development and teaching resources that make methods accessible and analyses verifiable.

Software and documentation

Updates and highlights

Publication · October 14, 2026

Extra hidden states in HMMs

My article Extra hidden states under emission misspecification in hidden Markov models is published in Statistica Neerlandica, 80(4), e70042. It studies how additional states can compensate for restrictive emission distributions, with a genomic application.

Read the article Code and analyses

Publication · October 6, 2026

Influenza vaccines: systematic review

Our systematic review and meta-analysis of the relative effectiveness of adjuvanted influenza vaccines for preventing hospitalization is published in Vaccines, 14(10), 883, with Daniela Amicizia and our collaborators.

Read the article

Publication · October 1, 2026

Visualizing directional dependence

My article Visualizing directional dependence on cylinders and tori is published in the Journal of Data Science, Statistics, and Visualisation, 6(7). It presents a conditional graphical grammar for data on cylinders and tori, implemented in ggcircular.

Read the article ggcircular

Publications

Animal movement

An article is published in Methods in Ecology and Evolution, and two bioRxiv preprints focus on behavioural-state inference and sequential predictive diagnostics for hidden Markov models of animal movement.

MEE article HMM preprint SSF preprint

Presentations

SSC 2026

I led a workshop on AI and teaching, contributed to a public teaching-resource gallery, presented work on LOO-LBFP, and received the 2026 New Investigator Presentation Award.

AI Gallery LOO-LBFP presentation

Open teaching resources

Données bleues

Quebec and Canadian datasets for teaching statistics and R, with activities, source documentation and reusable teaching materials.

Explore the resources

R software

leaflet.indoor and lmmix

Two software projects available on GitHub: multi-level indoor maps and Gaussian mixed models with correlated residuals. Their development status is stated on each project page.

leaflet.indoor lmmix

Teaching

Fall 2026 courses

Updated course sites for STT-1100, STT-4230 / STT-6230 and MQT-2101 bring together notes, activities and resources for reproducible data analysis.

Teaching

Seminar

Au-delà du prompt

Slides and a PDF from the September 18, 2026 OSD seminar on designing a teaching ecosystem with AI. Materials are in French.

Seminar resources

Student support

GPT-CDA in ULaval News

On May 22, 2026, ULaval News published a story about GPT-CDA, a conversational assistant designed to support learning in mathematics and statistics at the CDA.

Read the article CDA page

R software

Recent packages on CRAN

GLBFP, DonutMap, ggcircular, CircularRegression, and tutorizeR support density estimation, statistical mapping, circular-data visualization, circular regression, and interactive tutorial creation.

DonutMap ggcircular CircularRegression tutorizeR

Read the academic CV: experience, publications, software, teaching, supervision, funding and service. PDF versions in French and English.

© 2026 Aurélien Nicosia - Université Laval
Québec, QC - aurelien.nicosia@mat.ulaval.ca
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